Modeling COVID-19 Transmission in California Counties

This project will produce a validated modeling tool to forecast the hospital bed, intensive care bed, and ventilator need for the COVID-19 outbreaks in California counties, with a focus on resource needs for populations at high risk of disease severity (cardiovascular disease, lung disease, or diabetes) or infection (unstably housed populations).\n \nThis project aims to ensure adequate hospital resources (hospital beds, intensive care beds, ventilators) in California counties for the COVID-19 outbreak by providing short term (7 day) and long term (up to 6 month) forecasts of COVID-related hospital resource need and availability, with a focus on needs of vulnerable populations. This information will aid policymakers in decisions regarding the impact of policy changes on hospital resource needs, with a focus on ensuring adequate hospital resources for those at high risk of disease severity (such as who have key comorbidities such as cardiovascular disease, lung disease, or diabetes). Additionally, it will provide information on resource needs for vulnerable populations diagnosed with COVID-19, such as post-diagnosis or post-hospitalization temporary housing for individuals with unstable housing who are concerned about transmitting to others.